Free Pick for Feb 29
Pick: Houston Rockets +1.5
The Rockets head to Boston to take on the Celtics, which should be one of the best Leap day games in the NBA. Both teams are playing incredible basketball heading into this meeting. The Rockets have won 9 of the last 11 games and are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last five. The Celtics have won 11 of 13 overall and are a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five games, but something has to give tonight. With a healthy Kemba Walker this would be a great matchup as the teams match up well, but that is not the case. Walker and Robert Williams are some banged up Celtics that may get some playing time tonight.
If Brad Stevens tries to run with the Rockets that will be a mistake. In the past Stevens has tinkered with his lineup too much especially during big games (see LA) and that has cost this team some valuable victories. The Rockets are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest and will be able to steal a victory in Boston tonight.