NFL handicappers are scouring data leading up to the Super Bowl in hopes of getting solid information that will lead to a winning pick on game day. Many handicappers use NFL betting trends to find a winning pick for the big game, but finding trends that are worthwhile could be tough with just one game on the schedule.
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Here is a look at the trends for Super Bowl XLVI and which ones may help in predicting the outcome.
When it comes to the playoffs the Giants are red-hot and it shows in the trends. The Giants are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight playoff games as underdogs and 8-1 ATS in their last nine playoff games overall. This trend is legitimate since it shows that the Giants play well as underdogs in big games and are on a hot streak.
The Patriots have an opposite trend heading into the Super Bowl. The Pats are 1-6 ATS in their last seven playoff games as favorites and it shows covering as chalk has not been easy of late for the Patriots. They are also 1-3-1 ATS in their last five Super Bowls. That number is less relevant. The Patriots may not be a safe bet in the Super Bowl based on that number, but the Patriots had completely different teams for Super Bowl sin the past.
The same could be said for head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings and the underdog is 5-1 ATS. This can be almost completely ignored. The Giants beat the Patriots this year and that is important, but 5-1 in the last six meetings dates back to far to be useful in this game.
The Giants have some positive trends that come into play for the Super Bowl. The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on turf and that is vital because it indicates that the Giants use the turf to utilize their speed for an advantage. There are several other trends that show a strong indication of just how hot the Giants are.
The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a win straight up and against the spread. They are 5-0 against the number in the last five overall and 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of three points or less.
The Patriots have trends that do not seem to be very useful in this spot. For instance the Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to cover the spread in the last game. This is useful in the regular season because it indicates that the Patriots rebound after playing poorly. This is the Super Bowl so the Patriots will be prepared and not have any let down in this event.
When it comes to the total, the over is obviously favored by football betting fans and the trends support that. For instance the total has gone over in 24 of their last 32 games when the Patriots are favorites. It should be noted however that the Giants have a slew of under trends in their favor.
The Under is 4-0 in Giants last four games on turf, 8-2 in Giants last 10 playoff games, and 5-1 in Giants last 6 games overall.
Trends are very tricky and can be used incorrectly by many handicappers who will hunt down trends in hopes of supporting their selection instead of researching trends to find an angle that will help in selecting a winner in the upcoming Super Bowl.
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