NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread For Every Game
The National Football League has just five games left on the season. This becomes a crucial week for teams trying to make the playoffs. It will make it even more difficult for NFL fans that like to bet on football to try and pick winners. Will the favorites keep winning and covering or will the underdogs finally bite? Itâ€™s time to find out with the NFL Week 13 ATS Picks For Every Game.
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Now on to the 2017 NFL Week 13 ATS Picks for Every Game. Â All point spreads are provided by MyBookie.ag.
Last week the Patriots covered a giant 17 point spread against the hapless Miami Dolphins. Now they are on the road against a Buffalo team that is still clinging playoff hopes. Say what you will about the Bills, but they are paying off for bettors as they have posted the best against the spread (ATS) record since 2010 through 11 games this season. They also play well against good teams at 5-0 straight and 4-1 ATS. It is always scary to go against Tom Brady and the Pats, but this is a good spot for the Bills. Only 19 percent of the bets are on the Bills making them the least like home underdog this season, which means I am buying in on Buffalo.
The Panthers and the Saints meet up and they need to get a win because the winner would be ready to take the NFC South. The Panthers will be without Charles Johnson who was suspended and that could hurt the Panthers pass rush. The Saint defense has been getting torched lately as they allowed over 400 yards in the last outing. The Panthers are a perfect 7-0 against the number as a road dog after playing as a road favorite in the last outing. Hard to fade the Saints in the dome, but too much love here for a banged up defense that wonâ€™t slow down Cam Newton. This has all the makings of a good game and that means I will take the points.
This is a very intriguing game as two of the best teams in the NFC face off. The Vikings played on Thanksgiving so they will be well rested and ready to go with more than 10 days to get ready for this game. The Vikings are used to playing on turf and are 9-0 ATS on turf when they are off two consecutive wins by more than 7 points. The Falcons are at home but Matt Ryan actually has a losing record ATS at home over the last five seasons as they win at only a 47 percent clip. If defense wins ballgames the Vikings have the edge and they are averaging over 30 points per game in the last few games. I always follow one rule when betting on football; always take the better team when getting points.
The Jimmy Garrapolo era begins in San Francisco and everyone is excited. This includes the sports bettors who are backing (60%) the 49ers as a road dog in this game. This is good to know because the Bears are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 home games when getting less than the majority of spread bets from the public. The Bears are also 7-0 ATS off a game as an underdog when they scored fewer than 10 points. The Bears have been bad as favorites this year and want to prove that they can rise to the challenge.
This becomes a must win for both teams as the Packers have the chance to get Aaron Rodgers back in a few weeks and Jameis Winston will be ready to go this week. The Packers are 0-6 ATS at home when playing a non-divisional opponent when coming off a loss. The Packers are getting too much love after playing close to the Steelers a week ago. Over 83 percent of the public is pounding the Packers and that is a big mistake. Bucs get the big road win with Winston back in the lineup.
The Houston Texans are on the verge of being eliminated from the playoffs and they cannot lose again. They will be trying to chase down QB Marcus Mariota and he has been a bad bet for football betting fans. He is 13-22-2 ATS since he joined the NFL. The Titans have revenge for a double digit blowout in the last meeting, but the Texans have owned this series winning 9 of the last 11 meetings. The Titans are not good at covering big numbers and they are 0-10 ATS as a favorite of more than three points when they covered in the last game. The Texans are 7-0 ATS as a road of more than 7 points coming off a road game. The Texans are playing on a short week, but they have the better squad in a must-win game.
If you are going to bet on the Broncos this week it is because you believe that they are due for a correction. I only say that because they are on a 0-7 ATS betting streak that is hard to touch. The problem is the Dolphins are 0-12 ATS facing a team that is off two consecutive losses. The favorite has flopped in this game and the Broncos are now (-1.5) point favorites. This is weird since 56 percent of the money is on the Dolphins. That tells me smart money is on the Broncos, so I will follow along, albeit timidly since recent reports indicate the flu is going through the Broncos locker room.
What is wrong with the Chiefs? They are in a tailspin and they have to play on the road in the big apple again against a Jets team that plays hard every week. This is going to be a close game but this line has moved in my favor as I am backing the Chiefs. They realize they have to keep pace with the Chargers who are playing the Browns. Teams that lost their previous game as a favorite of 10 or more points (like the Chiefs) have gone 35-23-3 (60.3%) ATS in their next game. The Chiefs get back on track and win an ugly weather game.
This should be right around the time you see teams that are out of the playoffs mailing it in. The Jags got a wakeup call by blowing a winnable game last week against the Cardinals. Two things I hate about this game. 1) Double digit divisional favorites are not good against the spread (78-106-5 ATS since 2003) and the public is pounding the Jags. But sometimes good teams win and cover. The Jags will crush this team on defense and sack Brissset and force him into untimely turnovers dominating the field positon. Have to go with the superior defense.
The Ravens are winning ugly and host the Lions on a short week. They do well when they can run the ball and the Lions allow an additional 8.4 points per game and 76.2 rushing yards per game since Haloti Ngata got injured. Matthew Stafford has played great but he is a bad bet in the month of December and this offense slows down off turf. The Lions are 0-6 ATS against a non-divisional opponent playing on grass. The Ravens are in the playoff hunt and they win ugly once again.
It would not be the NFL Week 13 Picks Against the spread for every game without talking about the Browns. This is the week the Browns come close to winning. The Chargers are the flavor of the week in the NFL and everyone is jumping on board. 70 percent of the public money has pushed this line to two touchdowns and that is just way too much. The Chargers are not used to covering the number when it is this big. The Chargers when theyâ€™re favorites of 13.5 points or more since 2003 are 0-7 against the spread and double digit dogs off a double digit loss are 109-86-4 ATS. We just canâ€™t get off the Browns this week. Josh Gordon is back and the Browns win!
The biggest story of the week was Eli Manning getting benched in favor of Geno Smith. Now they hit the road to take on a dysfunctional Raiders team that canâ€™t see to do anything right. When it was announced Geno was starting the line dropped and the public bailed on Big Blue. The two wins the Giants have had this season as come as double digit dogs. The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the last five games after a win and just 2-6-1 ATS this season. The Raiders are not good enough to cover this number.
The Rams are a very good team but they are getting some serious love by sportsbooks now as they are big favorites this week against the Cardinals. They have not been a road favorite of 7 points or more since 2003 which shows how inflated this line is. The Rams are getting 71 percent of the bets and 84 percent of the money, which means this is one of the biggest public bets of the week. The Cardinals will be able to move the ball and run against the Rams defense that has issues stopping the run. The Cardinals are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 games played in December and they have a shot at the outright upset.
Last week the favorite got hammered on Sunday night football and barely walked away with a win and never had a chance to cover. Look for the same kind of result in this big game. The money is pouring on the Eagles who are blowing out everyone that they come across. With over 67 percent of the tickets and 64 percent off the money the line jumped. It opened at Eagles (-3) and is now at (-6) at several sportsbooks. This is the most points that the Seahawks have ever gotten at home since Russell Wilson started playing quarterback. Wilson is 3-0 SU and ATS at home getting points and 14-7 ATS as an underdog overall. Pete Carroll will use the disrespect label to get this team fired up for this game.
The Monday night football game is a bit, blah but itâ€™s still a rivalry game. The Steelers are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against a team with a losing home record. The Steelers will also be looking past this game to the big game against the Ravens (and then the Patriots). Antonio Brown is banged up and has been missing practice due to a toe injury, although he is expected to play. The bets will be all over the Steelers but I will bet the Bengals to keep this close.