Crackback React: NFL Preseason Betting Observations from Week 1
It is time to look back at the NFL Preseason betting observations from week 1 of the preseason. Even if you are just learning how to bet on the NFL preseason, it was a good week. The first full night of the first week of football action wrapped up and there are plenty of NFL Preseason betting observations from week 1 to make note of. When betting on football you have to be on top of your game if you hope to make money and consistently pick winners. That is why we are going to provide a weekly look at what happened in the NFL. Here is what to watch for in the future and wagering angles that may be profitable. The NFL Preseason betting observations from week 1 include a star performance, an odds-changing injury and other news and notes for the football handicapper.
Dogs Do It
In the first night of football action the underdogs went 7-4 against the spread (ATS). There are 12 games to look at on night one, but the Bears vs Bengals closed at a (PK) so it was not included in the calculation. Out of those seven underdog wins, six of those teams won outright. That is not surprising considering that the lines for the NFL preseason are usually around three points. The most impressive win of the night belongs to the Steelers who beat the Eagles 31-14 as (+3) underdogs. They covered the spread by a (+20) point margin.
When betting on the NFL preseason it is important to know if the coach is in it to win it.
Bill Belichick and the Patriots won and covered in the first game against the Redskins. Belichick is now 13-7 in the first game that he coaches in the preseason. However, it is interesting to note that Belichick and the Patriots are just 7-11 in the fourth game of the preseason which many consider the most meaningless game of the preseason.
Looking Ahead To Week 2
Heading into week 2 of the preseason it is interesting to note that the Cowboys Jason Garrett is 2-5 in week 2 and The Packers Mike McCarthy is 9-3 in the second week of the preseason. Coaching matters and there is more proof of this from week 1.
Best of the Best
The perfect example is Ravens coach Jon Harbaugh. The Ravens won and covered by 22.5 points this week as they throttled the Rams. Harbaugh is 27-14 ATS in the preseason and his now 8-3 in the second game of the preseason. That brings us to another NFL Preseason betting observations from week 1.
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Helps To Play in the Hall Of Fame Game:
Sometimes you have to look back to find the NFL Preseason betting observations from Week 1 that matter the most. The Ravens were playing their second game of the NFL preseason. Since the Ravens and Bears both played in the Hall of Fame game, this week marked the second game for both teams. Because they had one game under their belt, the offenses looked much more in sync for the second game. Both games (Ravens vs Rams and Bears vs Bengals) went over the total.In fact, both the Ravens and the Bears both scored over 30 points.
Mainstream Media Interference
When looking for wagering angles, the stories that you usually see on main stream media is not the one that you should be focusing on. After the first night all of the talk focused on Baker Mayfield and his debut in the Browns win over the Giants. While it is impressive for a rookie in his first start, by main concern was the play of the Giants defense.
Giants D: Big Boo
James Bettcher is the new Giants defensive coordinator and he is introducing new things that will take the players some time to absorb and learn. Last night was the first real dress rehearsal for this team so it is not surprising that they looked bad. It is just one game, but the Giants still have two big problems. They couldn’t get to the QB and they couldn’t defend the tight end. The Giants broadcast team pointed this out.
We had linebacker Alec Ogletree on the radio broadcast and he spoke about the David Njoku touchdown, where he was beaten deep after being isolated one-on-one. Looked to me that Ogletree came downhill too much on Njoku in coverage, making it very hard for him to change direction and stay with him down the field. That’s the sort of stuff the preseason is for.
That was just the first team defense. The second team defense had similar problems and also allowed 3rd and long conversions that should be avoidable. There is still some time to fix these issues but in a division where the Giants have to play Jordon Reed and Zach Ertz twice a year it is a problem that they need to address.
Say Goodbye to Guice
The NFL preseason always has injuries. The hope is that there are no injuries that could literally cripple a team. That may have happened to the Redskins. The Redskins lost talented rookie RB Derrius Guice to a season ending torn ACL injury against the Patriots. The Redskins are not expected to do too much this year. With that in mind, the odds did not shift all that much for this team. The Redskins are still +2650 to win the NFC, +900 to win the NFC East and +1025 to win the NFC Wildcard. We have an article predicting the win totals for the Redskins and the prediction on the number of wins that the Redskins will end the season with did not change. See it here.
James Brown worked as a B/R featured columnist and will be doing the Crackback React weekly report this year for Bookie Blitz. He can be followed on Twitter here and feel free to contact James at email@example.com.